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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. Better would be to depend on the excellent sense of the American individuals. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his party both houses of Congress as well as the White Home.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. However if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much prior to. He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal. As of late July, Trump stayed the leading choice for the Republican presidential election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and practically every private survey that reveals him with huge double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from your house committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he intends to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a harmful primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to get involved in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern governmental main period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another issue: I understand polls reveal that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.