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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend upon the great sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress in addition to the White Home.
The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.
and we may have to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those ambitions even more.
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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.
He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.
We neglect them at our peril doing so suggests losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he poses and preparing for how best to defeat him. First among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former lawyer who understands the man in addition to anyone said in November: “His delicate ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.
In current weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of proof from your house committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.
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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.
And when the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White House? His political significance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.
Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he intends to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.
Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an unpleasant primary.
If Trump looms big, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential main era. There have actually been some primary polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of support.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another problem: I understand surveys show that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration united behind their leader.