Will Trump Get Reelected In 2024

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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the good sense of the American individuals. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both homes of Congress along with the White House.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it once again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump may think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from your home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won? Indeed, isn’t the risk to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the possibility of going back to the White Home? His political importance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump statement quickly after the midterms stating he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later.

, politics reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in an untidy main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main period. There have been some main surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another issue: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes excellent on his stated intention to run once again.