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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.
At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
and we may need to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. But if anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what took place, is just likely to grease those aspirations even more.
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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages. Trump might think that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.
In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from your house committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.
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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Thus, any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.
And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won? Isn’t the risk to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political relevance would be beat by that of those who select up the torch, while his name might be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.
Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump statement quickly after the midterms saying he intends to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.
, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or achieve success. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an untidy main.
If Trump looms large, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary era.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls reveal that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader.