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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the great sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress in addition to the White Home.
The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.
We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Do not doubt that he will. If anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized details Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just most likely to grease those ambitions further.
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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump might believe that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.
In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of evidence from your home committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.
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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.
And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political significance would be beat by that of those who select up the torch, while his name might be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.
Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.
Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to get involved in an untidy main.
If Trump looms large, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential main age.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another problem: I know polls show that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary opponents leapt all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration united behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.