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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized information Trump allegedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

He would practically surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We disregard them at our peril doing so implies losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he poses and preparing for how best to beat him. Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former lawyer who knows the man in addition to anyone stated in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In current weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the risk to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White House? His political significance would be outperformed by that of those who select up the torch, while his name might be in the headings primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has already said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern governmental primary period. There have actually been some main surveys checking Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced major renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another issue: I know surveys show that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her main opponents jumped all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes good on his stated objective to run again.