Why Trump Will Win In 2024

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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it once again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what occurred, is only most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

Even if Trump were founded guilty prior to the 2024 election, it would not likely be much prior to. He would practically definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican presidential election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and nearly every individual survey that shows him with huge double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from your home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won? Certainly, isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White House? His political importance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced major renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another issue: I know polls show that Democrats mostly don’t want Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run again.