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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.
At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America excellent again,” he informed the CPAC audience.
Do not question that he will. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized information Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only likely to grease those ambitions further.
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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump might think that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.
In current weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.
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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.
And once the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won?
Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later.
Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in an unpleasant primary.
If Trump looms large, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary era. There have been some main polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in terms of assistance.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another issue: I know surveys show that Democrats largely don’t desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run again.