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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

Do not question that he will. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won?

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, anticipate a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main age. There have actually been some main polls testing Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another complication: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers leapt all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.