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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America excellent again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won? Undoubtedly, isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political significance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential primary period. There have been some primary polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with major renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader.