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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the excellent sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both homes of Congress along with the White Home.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for. Trump might believe that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime project theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from your house committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Thus, any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won? Isn’t the danger to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be outshone by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name could be in the headings mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement soon after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential main period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another complication: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.