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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

Do not question that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized details Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would practically definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from your home committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the risk to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the possibility of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be beat by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name could be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement soon after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has actually currently stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an unpleasant primary.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another issue: I understand polls show that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader.