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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized information Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages. Trump may believe that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Thus, any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump statement quickly after the midterms stating he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an unpleasant primary.

If Trump looms large, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern governmental primary period. There have been some main surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another problem: I know surveys show that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers leapt all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes good on his stated intention to run once again.