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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Better would be to depend on the good sense of the American individuals. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress in addition to the White Home.
The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.
At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
and we might have to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.
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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump might believe that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.
Even if Trump were convicted prior to the 2024 election, it would not likely be much prior to. He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican governmental election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics survey average and nearly every individual survey that reveals him with huge double-digit leads over his closest competitor.
Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.
In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.
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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. For this reason, any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.
And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the guidelines versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won? Indeed, isn’t the threat to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political importance would be beat by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name might be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.
Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump statement right after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.
Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or be effective. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an untidy main.
If Trump looms large, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main era.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys show that Democrats mainly don’t want Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her main opponents leapt all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.