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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.
We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.
Do not doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those aspirations further.
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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.
Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much before. He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading choice for the Republican presidential election, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics survey average and practically every individual survey that reveals him with huge double-digit leads over his closest rival.
Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.
In recent weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.
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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Thus, any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.
And when the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he in fact won?
Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.
, politics reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an untidy main.
If Trump looms large, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary era.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another issue: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader.