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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the dependability of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of proof from your home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. For this reason, any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to get involved in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main period. There have been some primary surveys checking Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in regards to assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another problem: I know polls show that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration united behind their leader.