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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized information Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he in fact won?

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a harmful primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another problem: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader.