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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. Better would be to depend on the common sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both homes of Congress along with the White House.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it once again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. However if anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what occurred, is only most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would nearly definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he intends to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or be effective. Sanders has actually already said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to get involved in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern governmental primary era. There have been some main polls checking Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another issue: I know surveys show that Democrats largely don’t want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she had to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes excellent on his stated objective to run once again.