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If adequate of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.
Do not question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only likely to grease those ambitions further.
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Any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.
He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
We ignore them at our danger doing so means losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he positions and getting ready for how best to defeat him. Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous legal representative who knows the male as well as anybody said in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.
In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.
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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. For this reason, any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.
And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he in fact won?
Offered all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.
Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in a messy primary.
If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main age. There have actually been some primary polls evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in terms of support.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another problem: I know polls reveal that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader.