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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the trustworthiness of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. However if anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source acquainted with what took place, is just likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would practically undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement soon after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later.

, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or achieve success. Sanders has actually already stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in an untidy main.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main period. There have actually been some main polls checking Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run again.