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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. However if anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified details Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source acquainted with what occurred, is only likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump might believe that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

We ignore them at our hazard doing so suggests losing valuable time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he poses and getting ready for how best to defeat him. First amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former legal representative who knows the male as well as anybody stated in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Thus, any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won?

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump announcement soon after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.

, politics reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary period. There have been some primary polls evaluating Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another issue: I know surveys show that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader.