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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. But if anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized information Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages. Trump might think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

We ignore them at our peril doing so means losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present risk” to our Constitution that he positions and getting ready for how best to beat him. Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former legal representative who knows the guy as well as anybody stated in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he in fact won?

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump statement quickly after the midterms stating he intends to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main age. There have actually been some primary surveys testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I know surveys reveal that Democrats largely do not want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader.