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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized details Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much prior to. He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump stayed the leading option for the Republican presidential nomination, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and nearly every specific poll that reveals him with enormous double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

We disregard them at our danger doing so suggests losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he presents and getting ready for how best to defeat him. Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous attorney who knows the male as well as anyone stated in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won? Certainly, isn’t the risk to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the possibility of going back to the White Home? His political relevance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement soon after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has already said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main period. There have been some primary polls evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading but just in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with major renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another problem: I understand polls show that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.