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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Better would be to depend on the excellent sense of the American individuals. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress along with the White House.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may need to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just most likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of evidence from your house committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Certainly, isn’t the danger to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the prospect of going back to the White Home? His political significance would be outperformed by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name might be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an untidy main.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I understand polls reveal that Democrats largely don’t desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader.