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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of proof from the Home committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he intends to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental main age. There have actually been some main surveys checking Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mainly don’t want Biden to run again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader.