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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. Better would be to depend upon the great sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his party both homes of Congress as well as the White House.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized info Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump may think that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In recent weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won? Certainly, isn’t the danger to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of going back to the White Home? His political significance would be beat by that of those who pick up the torch, while his name might be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has already stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential main era. There have been some primary surveys evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in regards to assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced major renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another issue: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats largely don’t want Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run again.