Trump Is Winning

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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday seems like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

We disregard them at our peril doing so implies losing valuable time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he presents and preparing for how finest to defeat him. Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former lawyer who knows the guy in addition to anyone said in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In recent weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of proof from your home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won? Indeed, isn’t the risk to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the possibility of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or achieve success. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy main.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern governmental main age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I understand polls show that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration joined behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run again.