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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the common sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his party both homes of Congress as well as the White House.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America excellent again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much prior to. He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. As of late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican governmental election, with about 50% assistance, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and nearly every specific survey that reveals him with massive double-digit leads over his closest competitor.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won?

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement right after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another complication: I know polls reveal that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary opponents jumped all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.