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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the excellent sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress as well as the White House.
The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the trustworthiness of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Do not question that he will. If anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those aspirations further.
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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.
He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.
In current weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from your house committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.
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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.
And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?
Offered all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later on.
Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in a messy primary.
If Trump looms large, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential main period. There have actually been some primary polls testing Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading but only in the 30s in regards to support.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another problem: I understand polls show that Democrats largely do not desire Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that method.
Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she needed to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.