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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. Better would be to depend upon the excellent sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his celebration both homes of Congress along with the White House.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. But if anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what took place, is just likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

He would almost undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the risk to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Offered all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in a messy main.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential primary age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another issue: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run again.