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If adequate of them changed in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the trustworthiness of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump may believe that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of evidence from your house committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination considering whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Thus, any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won? Indeed, isn’t the risk to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the prospect of going back to the White Home? His political importance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines primarily for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has already stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats largely don’t want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader.