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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not doubt that he will. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those aspirations even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump may think that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of proof from your home committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus higher if he drops the prospect of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be outperformed by that of those who choose up the torch, while his name might be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms stating he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.

Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has actually currently stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an unpleasant primary.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main age. There have actually been some primary polls evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls show that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party united behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.