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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified details Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is only most likely to grease those ambitions further.
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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for. Trump might believe that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project theme of being an aggrieved martyr.
He would almost definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
We overlook them at our hazard doing so implies losing precious time both advising Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he presents and getting ready for how best to defeat him. Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former legal representative who understands the male along with anybody said in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.
In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the House committee investigating the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.
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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. For this reason, any worry he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.
And when the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he actually won?
Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement right after the midterms saying he intends to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.
Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in an unpleasant primary.
If Trump looms large, that may encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary period.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another problem: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mostly don’t want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary challengers leapt all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party united behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run again.