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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the trustworthiness of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it again.” Don’t doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal affords. Trump may think that an indictment might help his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Hence, any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won?

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, anticipate a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms stating he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later on.

, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern governmental primary age. There have been some primary polls checking Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in regards to assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another issue: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mainly don’t desire Biden to run once again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run once again.