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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Do not question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified info Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages. Trump might think that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would nearly undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won?

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms stating he means to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has actually already said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an untidy main.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main age. There have actually been some primary polls testing Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading only in the 30s in regards to support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another issue: I understand polls reveal that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.