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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.
Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just likely to grease those ambitions even more.
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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.
He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
We disregard them at our peril doing so suggests losing precious time both advising Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he positions and preparing for how best to beat him. Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former attorney who understands the man as well as anybody stated in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.
In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of proof from the House committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.
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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time.
And once the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines against you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won? Isn’t the danger to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White Home? His political relevance would be beat by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.
Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, expect a Trump statement not long after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.
Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in a messy main.
If Trump looms big, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental primary period. There have been some primary surveys evaluating Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in terms of support.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I understand polls show that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run again, but party elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her main opponents jumped all over her, and she needed to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration unified behind their leader. (It’s nearly Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes good on his stated intent to run again.