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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy once again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America great again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

Even if Trump were founded guilty prior to the 2024 election, it would not likely be much before. He would almost certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican governmental nomination, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics survey average and practically every specific survey that reveals him with enormous double-digit leads over his closest rival.

We overlook them at our danger doing so implies losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he presents and preparing for how best to defeat him. Amongst those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former attorney who knows the guy along with anyone said in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from your home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he in fact won?

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement right after the midterms stating he intends to be the very first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win four years later.

, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another issue: I understand polls show that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024. Her primary opponents jumped all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes excellent on his stated intention to run once again.