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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. Better would be to depend on the good sense of the American people. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the four years of his presidency he lost his party both houses of Congress as well as the White House.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America happy again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America great once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it once again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. If anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized details Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it would not likely be much before. He would nearly definitely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal. As of late July, Trump stayed the leading option for the Republican governmental election, with about 50% assistance, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and nearly every specific survey that shows him with massive double-digit leads over his closest rival.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from your house committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump tried to reverse the 2020 election.

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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Thus, any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump announcement right after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be effective. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to participate in a messy main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary age.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities against Trump. Another issue: I know surveys show that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her main challengers jumped all over her, and she had to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.