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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the credibility of the tally box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

Do not doubt that he will. If anything, remarkable actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is only most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment could help his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically undoubtedly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of evidence from the Home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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Any fear he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he actually won? Undoubtedly, isn’t the risk to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the prospect of going back to the White Home? His political importance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name might be in the headlines mainly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump statement not long after the midterms stating he intends to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a good point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in a messy main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really hard to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with serious renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another problem: I understand polls show that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a celebration unified behind their leader.