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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political ambitions. However if anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to classified info Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what took place, is only likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.

In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to implement the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he really won?

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump statement right after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later on.

, politics press reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d bother, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to participate in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential main era. There have actually been some main polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another complication: I understand surveys reveal that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration unified behind their leader.