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If enough of them changed in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. However if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified details Trump allegedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source knowledgeable about what occurred, is only most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal pays for. Trump might believe that an indictment could assist his political profile, promoting his longtime campaign theme of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we have actually experienced an avalanche of evidence from your home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement right after the midterms stating he intends to be the very first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms large, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary era. There have actually been some primary surveys checking Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading just in the 30s in terms of assistance.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have dealt with major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another issue: I understand polls reveal that Democrats largely don’t want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader.