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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the dependability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.
Don’t question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those ambitions even more.
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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.
He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared practical then.
In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.
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Any worry he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time.
And when the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won? Isn’t the risk to his moneymaking device greater if he drops the prospect of returning to the White House? His political importance would be outshone by that of those who select up the torch, while his name could be in the headings mainly for his entanglement with the law.
Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he plans to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win 4 years later on.
Exists a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful main to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. More like frenemies., senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in an untidy primary.
If Trump looms big, that may motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main era.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another problem: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mostly don’t want Biden to run again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration joined behind their leader.