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If sufficient of them changed in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Better would be to depend on the common sense of the American people. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his celebration both houses of Congress as well as the White Home.

The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the ballot box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political ambitions. But if anything, significant actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized info Trump presumably took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source acquainted with what occurred, is only likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal affords. Trump might think that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

Even if Trump were founded guilty prior to the 2024 election, it wouldn’t likely be much before. He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican presidential nomination, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and nearly every specific survey that shows him with enormous double-digit leads over his closest rival.

We overlook them at our danger doing so indicates losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he poses and preparing for how best to defeat him. Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former attorney who understands the male as well as anyone stated in November: “His fragile ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?

Offered all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not think he ‘d bother, or succeed. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run against Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage greater Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely difficult to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern presidential primary period. There have actually been some primary polls testing Biden versus a multicandidate field that have him leading but just in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced serious renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary opponents leapt all over her, and she needed to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anybody running if Biden makes great on his stated objective to run again.