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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. However if anything, significant actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump supposedly took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would almost surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

We overlook them at our hazard doing so indicates losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present threat” to our Constitution that he poses and preparing for how finest to beat him. First among those arguing Trump won’t run once again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous attorney who knows the guy along with anyone stated in November: “His delicate ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Hence, any worry he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to crave the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement not long after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or achieve success. Sanders has already said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to take part in a messy primary.

If Trump looms big, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced major renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances against Trump. Another complication: I understand polls show that Democrats mostly do not want Biden to run once again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.

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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the dependability of the tally box is that he knows the tally box can defeat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will soon announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

Do not question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case tied to categorized information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for.

He would practically surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from your home committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually certainly been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his credibility if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he really won?

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

, politics reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in an untidy primary.

If Trump looms big, that may encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern presidential main age. There have been some main surveys checking Biden against a multicandidate field that have him leading but just in the 30s in terms of support.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination fights (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I know surveys reveal that Democrats largely do not want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she needed to ask forgiveness!.?.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration united behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes good on his stated intent to run again.