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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. Much better would be to depend on the common sense of the American individuals. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections. In the 4 years of his presidency he lost his party both houses of Congress along with the White House.

The reason Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he understands the ballot box can beat him.

At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, previous President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly announce he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

Don’t doubt that he will. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified info Trump supposedly took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump must pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages. Trump might believe that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would practically surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed practical then.

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of evidence from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of an accelerating Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And when the presidency is won, are your people going to enforce the guidelines against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his unavoidable claim that he in fact won?

Given all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump statement right after the midterms stating he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I do not believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a harmful primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a decent share of the vote, however in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or achieve success. Sanders has already stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re good friends!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we require more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not desiring to take part in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms big, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s extremely tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential main era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities against Trump. Another problem: I know surveys show that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run once again, however party elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary challengers jumped all over her, and she had to say sorry!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party joined behind their leader. (It’s almost Trump-like!) Yeah, I do not see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intent to run once again.