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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it might reject Mr Trump triumph in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.
The factor Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can beat him.

We will make America safe again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he told the CPAC audience.
Do not question that he will. If anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.
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Any fear he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.
He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal.
We ignore them at our danger doing so suggests losing precious time both reminding Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he postures and getting ready for how finest to defeat him. First among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s former attorney who understands the guy in addition to anybody said in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be considered a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation seemed reasonable then.
In recent weeks, we have actually seen an avalanche of proof from the Home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s prospective criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even before Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination thinking about whether Trump attempted to overturn the 2020 election.
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And in February, the National Archives asked for that the Justice Department take a look at whether Trump’s handling of White House records broke federal law. Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal manages.
And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won? Isn’t the risk to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political relevance would be outperformed by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.
Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he might remain in, anticipate a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later on.
Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there will not be a damaging primary to take him down.
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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and bring in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not think he ‘d trouble, or be successful. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an excellent point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an unpleasant primary.
If Trump looms big, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental main period.
Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually dealt with severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will want to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I know polls show that Democrats mainly do not want Biden to run again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.
Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.