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If sufficient of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the trustworthiness of the ballot box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

We will make America safe once again. And we will make America fantastic once again,” he informed the CPAC audience.

and we might have to do it again.” Do not doubt that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. If anything, dramatic actions versus him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified details Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is just most likely to grease those aspirations further.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the presidential seal affords.

He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the verdict would be reversed on appeal.

Among those arguing Trump will not run once again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve experienced an avalanche of evidence from your home committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department investigation thinking about whether Trump attempted to reverse the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has undoubtedly been displaced by a more major one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines versus you? When it comes to Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he really won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking device higher if he drops the possibility of returning to the White House? His political relevance would be outshone by that of those who get the torch, while his name could be in the headings predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Provided all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may be in, anticipate a Trump statement soon after the midterms saying he means to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, specifically if Trump is the nominee. If Trump reveals that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and attracting a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t believe he ‘d bother, or be effective. Sanders has actually already stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections analyst): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to participate in a messy primary.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate greater Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s extremely hard to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the contemporary governmental main period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent basic election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another issue: I understand surveys show that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that method.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a celebration joined behind their leader.