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If adequate of them changed in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump victory in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The factor Mr Trump projects so hard against the reliability of the tally box is that he understands the tally box can defeat him.

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We will make America safe again. And we will make America terrific once again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we may have to do it once again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the previous president’s political aspirations. However if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to categorized info Trump presumably took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what happened, is only likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any worry he has of losing has certainly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump needs to pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the governmental seal pays for. Trump might believe that an indictment might assist his political profile, promoting his longtime project style of being an aggrieved martyr.

He would almost certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and declaring that the decision would be reversed on appeal.

Amongst those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation appeared reasonable then.

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the House committee examining the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that fateful day.

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And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trump’s handling of White Home records broke federal law. Any worry he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s guard from prosecution that the governmental seal affords.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your individuals going to implement the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won? Isn’t the threat to his moneymaking apparatus greater if he drops the possibility of returning to the White Home? His political significance would be beat by that of those who pick up the torch, while his name might be in the headlines predominantly for his entanglement with the law.

Given all these factors, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump statement soon after the midterms stating he intends to be the first president to have ever had an election taken and lived to win 4 years later.

Exists a Democrat who can take on Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I do not think so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a destructive main to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a decent share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or succeed. Sanders has actually currently said that he will not run against Biden. (They’re buddies!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political relationship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to participate in a messy main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s really tough to take on an incumbent president in a main no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the modern-day presidential primary period.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have actually faced major renomination fights (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will wish to be blamed for tanking Biden’s possibilities versus Trump. Another complication: I know surveys show that Democrats mostly don’t desire Biden to run again, however party elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run once again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party unified behind their leader.