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If enough of them switched in red states in a close race, it could deny Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is simple to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard versus the reliability of the ballot box is that he knows the ballot box can defeat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America excellent again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it once again.” Do not question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday appears like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. However if anything, remarkable actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White Home, according to an NBC source familiar with what occurred, is just likely to grease those ambitions further.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more severe one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

Even if Trump were convicted before the 2024 election, it would not likely be much before. He would nearly surely be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the decision would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading option for the Republican presidential nomination, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and almost every specific survey that shows him with enormous double-digit leads over his closest rival.

Among those arguing Trump won’t run again was Michael Cohen. Cohen’s observation seemed sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve seen an avalanche of proof from your house committee investigating the events of Jan. 6 about Trump’s possible criminality leading up to and on that eventful day. Even prior to Monday’s search, we saw news of a speeding up Justice Department examination considering whether Trump tried to overturn the 2020 election.

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Any fear he has of losing has surely been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And once the presidency is won, are your individuals going to impose the guidelines versus you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his trustworthiness if he lost a 2nd time, where’s the proof that his fans would disbelieve his inevitable claim that he actually won?

Offered all these aspects, whatever legal jeopardy he may remain in, expect a Trump announcement quickly after the midterms saying he plans to be the first president to have ever had actually an election stolen and lived to win four years later.

, politics reporter): I don’t think so, Sarah, particularly if Trump is the nominee. If Trump announces that he’s running for a 2nd term, I believe: 1) Biden will run again, and 2) there will not be a harmful primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I don’t think he ‘d bother, or be effective. More like frenemies., senior elections expert): That’s a great point, Alex, about Democrats likely not wanting to get involved in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that might motivate higher Democratic unity. Regardless, however, it’s very difficult to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has actually ever lost renomination in the modern-day governmental primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced severe renomination battles (e. g., previous President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s chances versus Trump. Another complication: I know surveys reveal that Democrats mainly do not desire Biden to run once again, however celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney stated she didn’t believe Biden would run again in 2024.!! To me, that’s the sign of a party joined behind their leader.