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If adequate of them switched in red states in a close race, it could reject Mr Trump success in the electoral college. It is easy to forget that Mr Trump loses elections.

The reason Mr Trump campaigns so hard against the dependability of the ballot box is that he knows the tally box can beat him.

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At the Conservative Political Action Conference in Texas on Saturday, former President Donald Trump dropped another tease that he will quickly reveal he is running for president in 2024. “We will make America proud once again. We will make America safe once again. And we will make America great again,” he told the CPAC audience.

and we might need to do it again.” Don’t question that he will. The FBI raid on Trump’s Mar-a-Lago house in Palm Beach, Florida, on Monday looks like it would put the brakes on the former president’s political aspirations. But if anything, dramatic actions against him by the Justice Department, in this case connected to classified information Trump apparently took with him from the White House, according to an NBC source familiar with what took place, is just most likely to grease those ambitions even more.

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Any fear he has of losing has definitely been displaced by a more major one: doing time. Trump should pine for the Justice Department’s shield from prosecution that the presidential seal manages.

Even if Trump were convicted prior to the 2024 election, it would not likely be much before. He would practically certainly be out on bail, still running for the presidency and claiming that the verdict would be reversed on appeal. Since late July, Trump remained the leading choice for the Republican governmental nomination, with about 50% support, according to the Real, Clear, Politics poll average and practically every private poll that reveals him with huge double-digit leads over his closest rival.

We disregard them at our peril doing so means losing valuable time both advising Americans of the “clear and present danger” to our Constitution that he presents and getting ready for how finest to beat him. First among those arguing Trump will not run again was Michael Cohen. Trump’s previous attorney who knows the guy as well as anybody stated in November: “His vulnerable ego can not stand to be thought about a two-time loser.” Cohen’s observation appeared sensible then.

In current weeks, we’ve witnessed an avalanche of proof from the Home committee examining the occasions of Jan. 6 about Trump’s potential criminality leading up to and on that eventful day.

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Any worry he has of losing has actually undoubtedly been displaced by a more serious one: doing time.

And as soon as the presidency is won, are your people going to impose the rules against you? As for Cohen’s assertion that Trump would surrender his reliability if he lost a second time, where’s the evidence that his fans would disbelieve his inescapable claim that he actually won?

Provided all these elements, whatever legal jeopardy he might be in, anticipate a Trump announcement not long after the midterms saying he intends to be the very first president to have ever had actually an election taken and lived to win four years later.

Is there a Democrat who can handle Biden? (Alex Samuels, politics press reporter): I don’t believe so, Sarah, especially if Trump is the candidate. If Trump announces that he’s running for a second term, I think: 1) Biden will run once again, and 2) there won’t be a damaging primary to take him down.

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Bernie Sanders stepping up to the plate and drawing in a good share of the vote, but in 2024, I do not believe he ‘d trouble, or be successful. Sanders has currently stated that he will not run versus Biden. (They’re pals!) More like frenemies. Ugh, we need more political friendship stories. (Geoffrey Skelley, senior elections expert): That’s an asset, Alex, about Democrats likely not wishing to take part in an unpleasant main.

If Trump looms large, that might encourage higher Democratic unity. Regardless, though, it’s very tough to take on an incumbent president in a primary no incumbent has ever lost renomination in the contemporary presidential primary era.

Yeah, and the incumbent presidents who have faced serious renomination battles (e. g., former President Jimmy Carter) lost their subsequent general election. No Democrat will desire to be blamed for tanking Biden’s opportunities versus Trump. Another problem: I understand polls show that Democrats mostly do not desire Biden to run again, but celebration elites aren’t acting that way.

Carolyn Maloney said she didn’t think Biden would run again in 2024. Her primary opponents jumped all over her, and she needed to apologize!.?.!! To me, that’s the indication of a party unified behind their leader. (It’s practically Trump-like!) Yeah, I don’t see anyone running if Biden makes great on his stated intention to run once again.